Research Article Volume 122 | Issue 1 | January 2014
Environ Health Perspect; DOI:10.1289/ehp.1306518
Evaluating Multipollutant Exposure and Urban Air Quality: Pollutant Interrelationships, Neighborhood Variability, and Nitrogen Dioxide as a Proxy Pollutant
Ilan Levy, Cristian Mihele, Gang Lu, Julie Narayan, and Jeffrey R. Brook
Background: Although urban air pollution is a complex mix containing multiple constituents, studies of the health effects of long-term exposure often focus on a single pollutant as a proxy for the entire mixture. A better understanding of the component pollutant concentrations and interrelationships would be useful in epidemiological studies that exploit spatial differences in exposure by clarifying the extent to which measures of individual pollutants, particularly nitrogen dioxide (NO2), represent spatial patterns in the multipollutant mixture.
Objectives: We examined air pollutant concentrations and interrelationships at the intraurban scale to obtain insight into the nature of the urban mixture of air pollutants.
Methods: Mobile measurements of 23 air pollutants were taken systematically at high resolution in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, over 34 days in the winter, summer, and autumn of 2009.
Results: We observed variability in pollution levels and in the statistical correlations between different pollutants according to season and neighborhood. Nitrogen oxide species (nitric oxide, NO2, nitrogen oxides, and total oxidized nitrogen species) had the highest overall spatial correlations with the suite of pollutants measured. Ultrafine particles and hydrocarbon-like organic aerosol concentration, a derived measure used as a specific indicator of traffic particles, also had very high correlations.
Conclusions: Our findings indicate that the multipollutant mix varies considerably throughout the city, both in time and in space, and thus, no single pollutant would be a perfect proxy measure for the entire mix under all circumstances. However, based on overall average spatial correlations with the suite of pollutants measured, nitrogen oxide species appeared to be the best available indicators of spatial variation in exposure to the outdoor urban air pollutant mixture.
Citation: Levy I, Mihele C, Lu G, Narayan J, Brook JR. 2014. Evaluating multipollutant exposure and urban air quality: pollutant interrelationships, neighborhood variability, and nitrogen dioxide as a proxy pollutant. Environ Health Perspect 122:65–72; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1306518
Address correspondence to J. Brook, Air Quality Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment Canada, 4905 Dufferin St., Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M3H 5T4. Telephone: (416) 739-4916. E-mail: email@example.com
Current address for I.L.: Technion Center of Excellence in Exposure Science and Environmental Health, Technion Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
We thank the Montréal Station d’épuration des eaux useée Jean-R.-Marcotte (P.A. Leduc) for providing a safe location for Environment Canada’s mobile laboratory, the Canadian Regional and Urban Investigation System for Environmental Research (CRUISER) to park and obtain electrical power throughout the study. We also thank the Ville de Montreal for providing the 1-min monitoring site data and A. Germain and the Montreal Sante Publique for providing insight and help in the study planning. We give special thanks to N. Hilker for his help with data preparation.
Financial support for this research was provided by the Federal Government of Canada’s Clean Air Regulatory Agenda and the PERD Particles and Related Emissions Program, Project 12.007. I.L. was supported by a postdoctoral fellowship from the Environment and Health Fund, Jerusalem, Israel, and an NSERC Visiting Fellowship in Canadian Government Laboratories.
The authors declare they have no actual or potential competing financial interests.
Received: 14 January 2013
Accepted: 7 November 2013
Advance Publication: 13 November 2013
Final Publication: 1 January 2014
- Supplemental Material (1.5 MB) PDF
Long-term cohort studies that examine effects of air pollution on human health depend on accurate estimates of pollution levels and their variability for large populations. Cohort studies that focus on large geographical domains or examine between-city differences in pollution levels typically have used relatively few central site measurements per city to characterize exposure contrasts (e.g., Dockery et al. 1993). In recent years, with an appreciation for within-city contrasts, there has been interest in the intraurban scale. For such small scales central site monitors are inadequate for characterizing the full breath of exposure variations.
Several approaches have been taken to resolve the spatial variability in the intraurban scales to assign exposures (Health Effects Institute 2010), such as road proximity, land use regression (LUR), three-dimensional air quality models, dispersion models, and hybrid modeling approaches (e.g., Sampson et al. 2011). These solutions are limited in that they depend on the accuracy and availability of input data (such as information on road networks, land use data, reported emissions, and meteorology) and the empirically-based models (e.g., LUR) typically predict the spatial pattern for a limited number of easily measured pollutants [e.g., nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), black carbon (BC)] derived from a limited number of short measurement campaigns (typically 2 weeks) that may not account for the full variability within a season or a year. Nonetheless, associations between these predicted single pollutant spatial contrasts (most often NO2) and health outcomes have been reported by a number of studies (e.g., Jerrett et al. 2009; Thiering et al. 2013).
The air we breathe holds a mix of pollutants, and the associations found in these health studies likely result from this mixture, and are not the sole effect of the proxy pollutant (Crouse et al. 2010). It is therefore necessary to examine the entire mix of pollutants (Dominici et al. 2010), addressing questions such as: How does the spatial pattern differ among pollutants? Do pollutants emitted from the same sources exhibit the same spatial patterns? Are statistical correlations between different pollutants constant over time? Are they constant over space? Such an evaluation of multipollutant patterns is important to better understand the magnitude of exposure assignment errors when using a single pollutant, the potential impact of such assignment errors on exposure–effect relationships and to ultimately understand the full effect of complex mixtures (Billionnet et al. 2012).
Measurements of multiple air pollutants were taken in the city of Montreal, Quebec, Canada, with a mobile laboratory at high spatiotemporal resolution over multiple days. This paper focuses on these outdoor air pollutant measurements and multipollutant spatial and seasonal contrasts with the aim of gaining a better understanding of multipollutant exposures in an urban environment. We examined multipollutant statistical correlations and seasonal variability in relationships among pollutants measured across Montreal, including NO2, carbonaceous particles, and ultrafine particles (UFP) as pollutants related to traffic emissions in urban areas and of considerable interest regarding potential health effects.
Our hypotheses are that seasonal and spatial variations exist, not only in the ambient levels of different pollutants but also in the correlations between them, and that pollutants emitted from similar sources are correlated spatially.
The study area, measurements, sampling strategy and spatial analysis has been described previously (Levy et al. 2012). Briefly, mobile measurements of air quality and meteorological parameters were taken by Environment Canada’s mobile lab, the Canadian Regional and Urban Investigation System for Environmental Research (CRUISER), in 2009. The study was conducted on the Island of Montreal, which has a population of 1.8 million. As with many large cities, air pollution in Montreal is spatially variable. In addition to traffic, pollution sources on the island include oil and gas refining, storage, and distribution facilities, and oil and gas heaters (in the winter) (Environment Canada 2008). Maps of the study area that include information on land uses and the locations of main roads/highways and major point sources are shown in Figure 1.
The measurement campaign occurred during the winter (on 11 individual days, with the first on 13 January and the last on 11 February), summer (17 days between 8 July and 3 September), and autumn (6 days between 22 November and 2 December) of 2009. In addition to reporting results according to season, we report results for the 34 measurement days combined. Measurements were done on both weekdays (31 days) and weekends (3 days). Twenty-three pollutants (see Supplemental Material, Table S1) were measured simultaneously at time resolutions ranging from 0.5 sec to 2 min. Geo-location was recorded with a global positioning system at 1-sec intervals. All the measurements were organized according to 1-sec intervals by averaging finer time resolution measurements and repeating values every second for measurements with coarser resolutions.
Two driving routes were systematically followed: a) East Montreal, and b) Central and West Montreal. The east route was used most often (26 times, of which 11/11 were in the winter, 14/17 in the summer and 1/6 in the autumn) because of the greater number of industrial facilities, particularly petrochemical, operating in that part of the city. Focus in this area also provided additional data on exposures relevant to an asthma panel study conducted just after our measurements and that involved children residing in East Montreal (Dobbin et al. 2011). The impact of industry on exposure and respiratory health was one of the underlying objectives of both our mobile measurement campaign and the panel study. On each mobile measurement day the entire route (east or west) was completed to insure that all measurement locations (i.e., road segments) were visited on the same days. However, the time of day that each segment was visited was varied across the day to avoid bias due to typical diurnal variations. Analysis of the measurements was done by first assigning each 1-sec measurement to a road segment. For each road segment and each pollutant, we then calculated the daily average value for each measurement day, the seasonal average value over all days in the measurement season, and the overall average value for all measurement days. A road segment was usually a line connecting two junctions. For each pollutant, measurements from a given road segment were included in the analyses only if there were > 100 CRUISER measurements per kilometer of the segment among all measurement days, with measurements on at least 3 different days. For example, out of a maximum of 1,200 possible road segments (i.e., the number of segments CRUISER drove on at least once), 855 segments met these criteria for NO2 measurements, including 513 segments (60%) with measurements on ≥ 15 days, 624 (73%) that were 50–250 m in length, and 308 (36%) that were 50–100 m in length (the modal length for all segments).
To our knowledge, several of the pollutants included in this analysis (see Supplemental Material, Table S1) are unique to this study. NO2 is a specific measure of this species, as opposed to what is measured in regulatory air quality monitoring networks, which is typically biased by interferences from other oxidized forms of nitrogen [e.g., peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), nitric acid (HNO3), dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5)] (Lee et al. 2011). Thus, NOx is specifically nitric oxide (NO) + NO2 because of the more accurate measurement of NO2. The instrumentation used also provided a direct measurement of total oxidized nitrogen species (NOy), defined as NOy = NO + NO2 + NOz. This latter class of compounds, NOz, represents the total quantity of nitrogen species that are more oxidized than NO2. NOz is calculated from the direct measurements: NOz = NOy – NOx. Given their highly oxidized form (e.g., PAN, HNO3, N2O5) these “NOz compounds” are of interest in terms of potential health effects (Brook et al. 2007). They are also a good indicator of photochemically processed urban air, which builds up during warm season stagnation (Luria et al. 2005). Also, as an additional indicator of oxidizing pollutants, we report Ox, which is the sum of NO2 and ozone (O3). This measure remains constant when O3 is titrated by NO, a major reason for the observed spatial variability in O3 within cities. It is important to note that among the nitrogen-related compounds only NO and NOy are measured directly, whereas NO2 is obtained by measuring NO2 + NO with one instrument and subtracting the NO measured by a different instrument. Measurements obtained through this approach (i.e., a difference technique), which includes NO2 and NOz and those depending upon them (i.e., NOx and NOz), have larger uncertainties compared with NOy and NO.
We used an Aerodyne aerosol mass spectrometer (Aerodyne Research, Billerica, MA, USA) to provide 2-min resolution for the main contributors to PM1 (particulate matter ≤ 1 μm in vacuum aerodynamic diameter) mass; total organic matter (OM), sulfate (SO4), nitrate (NO3), ammonium (NH4), and independent mass fragment (m/z) measurements across the full mass spectrum (m/z). In this study, we focused on m/z = 57 because of its relationship to fuel combustion, and on hydrocarbon-like organic aerosol (HOA), a derived measure calculated from the m/z fragments by a source apportionment model that provides an estimate of the total mass of organic particles emitted from fossil fuel combustion (Levy et al. 2012). In cities, HOA is typically dominated by traffic exhaust.
Given that some emission sources vary by season (e.g., due to seasonal variation in heating or construction), and that some pollutants or their emissions are influenced by temperature, we hypothesized that there will be seasonal variation in ambient concentrations and multipollutant correlations, in addition to variation according to locations within the city. To test these hypotheses, we computed Pearson correlation coefficients (rp) between average levels of pollutants among all available road segments based on the year-round data, and separately for the winter, summer, and autumn seasons. Moreover, we calculated these spatial correlations separately for three different residential neighborhoods where measurements were conducted approximately the same number of times over the same days and seasons (locations are shown in Figure 1B). The Anjou neighborhood is in proximity to two major highways (Highways 25 and 40) and a major interchange; Riviere des Prairies (RdP), in the northwest part of the city, has much fewer industrial or traffic emission sources, but residents commonly use wood for residential heating (Gagnon et al. 2007); Point aux Tremble (PaT) is closer to the oil refineries and industrial emissions sources than the other two neighborhoods. Although correlations are presented for all pairs of the pollutants measured, we focused on NO2 and its relationship with BC and UFP because all three are related to combustion sources and are commonly used as indicators of traffic air pollutant exposure. We also compare NO2 with OM and HOA because these particle species can be specific to traffic (e.g., BC and UFP) and are unique to this study. In addition, we also calculated the average correlation of each individual pollutant with all other pollutants. Although this is not a standard metric, we report it as an indication of how well each pollutant performs as an overall indicator of spatiotemporal variability in the urban air pollutant mixture.
Seasonal variation in the relationship between NO2 and particles. Mean concentrations of all pollutants were higher during winter versus summer measurement days, with the exception of O3 and the volatile organic compounds (VOCs; benzene, C3 benzene, toluene, and xylenes) (data not shown). Figure 2 shows plots of mean values of NO2 versus mean values of UFP, BC, OM, and HOA measured at corresponding road segments during summer and winter measurement days. Focusing on UFPs, the winter median and mean (~ 36,000 and ~ 41,000, respectively) are double the corresponding values measured in the summer (~ 17,000 and ~ 19,000, respectively), consistent with a greater buildup due to reduced evaporation in the winter. Although Pearson correlation coefficients between UFPs and NO2 are similar for the winter and summer (0.71 and 0.77, respectively), a 1-ppbv increase in NO2 was associated with a larger increase in the number of UFPs during the winter than in the summer (2,281 UFPs/cm3 vs. 1,384 UFPs/cm3) (Figure 2A and 2B, respectively).
For BC, the correlation with NO2 was smaller in winter than summer (rp = 0.55 vs. 0.80, respectively), along with higher NO2 mean and median in the winter (Figure 2C,D). In contrast with UFP, a 1-ppbv increase in NO2 was associated with a larger increase in BC during the summer than in the winter (0.181 vs. 0.059 μg/m3) (Figure 2C and 2D, respectively). The median concentration of OM was higher during the winter than the summer (~ 3 vs. ~ 2.2 μg/m3), but its correlation with NO2 was weaker in the winter (0.28 vs. 0.72) (Figure 2E,F). The median concentration of HOA also was larger in winter than in summer (0.82 vs. 0.40 μg/m3), but correlations with NO2 were similar for both seasons (rp~ 0.53) (Figure 2G,H). As for UFPs, a 1-ppbv increase in NO2 was associated with a larger increase in the HOA concentration during the winter than in the summer (0.035 vs. 0.018 μg/m3).
Multipollutant statistical correlations. Seasonal variability in multipollutant correlations and concentrations. Correlation matrix plots in Figure 3 show relatively strong correlations among the nitrogen species or classes (NO2, NO, NOx, NOy, and NOz) based on combined data for all measurement days (rp = 0.70–0.99, p-values < 0.001) (Figure 3A; see also Supplemental Material, Table S2).
In general, NO and NOy were more strongly correlated with other pollutants than NO2. For example, the overall correlation coefficients with UFP were 0.89 for both NOy and NO, compared with 0.63 and 0.80 for NO2 and NOx, respectively) (Figure 3A; see also Supplemental Material Table S2). Average correlations with all other pollutants combined based on all measurement days (see Supplemental Material, Table S2) suggest that NOy and NO [average rp (ravg) = 0.53] are slightly better overall indicators than NO2 and NOx (ravg = 0.40 and 0.48, respectively).
Other combustion-related pollutants, such as carbon monoxide (CO), O3, UFP, OM, and HOA also show good correlations with most pollutants (ravg = 0.46–0.55), except for sulfur dioxide (SO2), and the VOCs (which also have important non-combustion sources) (Figure 3). Interestingly, HOA (i.e., traffic-related particles) had the highest average spatial correlation with the other pollutants (ravg = 0.55 for all measurement days combined) (see Supplemental Material, Table S2). Of the measured gases, NOy and CO had the strongest correlations with HOA (rp = 0.82 and 0.84 for all days combined, respectively) (Figure 3).
For SO2 and the VOCs, there were almost no correlations with other species (e.g., rp < 0.17 for SO2). This is not surprising given that the spatial patterns observed for these pollutants show highest concentrations near industrial emissions and not along roads (Levy et al. 2012). The VOCs are well correlated among themselves, particularly in the autumn and winter seasons (Figure 3B and 3D, respectively). For example, rp between toluene and xylenes is 0.75 and 0.78 in the autumn and winter, respectively (see Supplemental Material, Tables S5 and S4, respectively). The different size fractions of particulate matter [PM10 (≤ 10 μm), PM2.5 (≤ 2.5 μm), and PM1.0 (≤ 1.0 μm)] show good correlations among themselves (rp = 0.56–0.85, p-values < 0.0001) and lower correlations with the nitrogen oxides group (rp = 0.29–0.59, p-values < 0.0001).
In general, correlation coefficients were higher for measurements in the summer compared with correlations for measurements over all days combined (Figure 3C and 3A, respectively; see also Supplemental Material, Table S3), especially for the nitrogen species and CO, O3, PM1.0, UFP, BC, OM, NO3, and Ox (i.e., O3 + NO2). These correlations, however, decrease in the winter (Figure 3D). For example, the correlation between CO and NO was rp = 0.79 for all days combined, 0.86 for summer measurement days, and 0.34 for winter measurement days. Correlations of PM10 and PM2.5 with other pollutants were weaker in the summer and winter than for all days combined, whereas correlations of PM1.0 with other pollutants were highest in the summer and lowest in the winter.
Apart from the correlations between different pollutants, the mix of air pollutants in each season is also influenced by the mean concentration of each pollutant. The ratios between the mean concentrations among all road segments included for different seasons are shown in Figure 3E. Higher mean concentrations were found in the winter compared with the summer for almost all pollutants, with the exception of O3, Ox, and VOCs (Figure 3E). However, the magnitude of the winter increase varied among pollutants, further indicating that the characteristics of the mixture are not stable between seasons.
Between-neighborhood variability in multipollutant correlations and concentrations. Figure 4A–I provide correlation maps of multipollutants for each neighborhood (same as Figure 3) focusing on nine pollutants, NO2, NOx, NOy, PM10, PM2.5, UFP, BC, SO2 and HOA. Supplemental Material Figure S1A–C shows the correlations for all pollutants. The ratios given in Figure 4J indicate which neighborhoods have higher pollution levels and the extent to which pollutants vary differently among neighborhood.
Although the correlations between nitrogen oxide species were high for all three neighborhoods (Figure 4A–C; see also Supplemental Material, Figure S1A–C), for each pollutant there were differences in the ratios of the average level in each neighborhood relative to the average for the study area as a whole (Figure 4J). For example, although the correlation between NOx and NO in all three neighborhoods was about 0.97, the ratios of the average NO concentrations in each neighborhood relative to the entire study area were 0.64, 0.50, and 0.48 for Anjou, RdP, and PaT, respectively, suggesting large spatial variation within the city and considerably lower levels in the three neighborhoods than in other parts of the study areas. Average values of NOx also were lower in the neighborhoods than in the study area as a whole; however, the differences were less pronounced (ratios of 0.96, 0.75, and 0.68, respectively), suggesting less spatial variation in NO2 between neighborhoods and supporting neighborhood-specific variation in the NO and NO2 mixture.
In general, across all three neighborhoods, average correlations of NO2, NOx, and NOy with all other pollutants (0.40–0.54, 0.44–0.55, and 0.43–0.54, respectively) were higher than average correlations of PM10, PM2.5, UFP, BC, SO2, or HOA with all other pollutants (Figure 4A–I). Correlations for NO were also in these ranges. Similarly, UFPs also had relatively high average correlations (0.38–0.51), whereas PM2.5 and SO2 had low average correlations. Average correlations for HOA with all other pollutants were lower when calculated by neighborhood (correlations of 0.29–0.43) than when based on all available data (0.55; see Supplemental Material, Table S2), which included more measurements from main roads. This further suggests that multipollutant relationships differ spatially, with the nature of the sources playing a large role. In addition, average correlations for the combustion-related pollutants, (nitrogen species, UFP, BC, and HOA), which in most areas are strongly linked to traffic, were highest in the high-traffic, highway-influenced Anjou neighborhood (average values 0.43–0.55). In contrast with combustion-related pollutants, PM2.5 had a higher average correlation with other pollutants in the low-traffic, less industrially influenced Riviere des Prairies neighborhood than in the Anjou neighborhood (0.39 vs. 0.20). Lower average correlations with other pollutants for PM2.5 than other pollutants in all locations may at least partly reflect the low spatial variation of PM2.5 over the study area relative to other pollutants.
We previously observed that SO2, benzene, and toluene have the highest concentrations in proximity to the petrochemical emission sources (Levy et al. 2012). In the present study, we investigated the impact of the petrochemical industry and the use of SO2 as an indicator of these emissions in a quantitative approach by examining the statistical correlations of SO2 and other pollutants at different locations. We observed large differences among areas of the city for SO2 (as well as for benzene and toluene), with mean SO2 levels in the PaT neighborhood 2.2 times higher than mean levels in the study area as a whole (Figure 4J). Figure 4H further isolates the correlation of SO2 with the other pollutants by neighborhood, demonstrating different exposure patterns in different parts of the city. Interestingly, in the area closest and most affected by the petrochemical industries (PaT), SO2 exhibits the poorest correlation with the other pollutants (ravg = 0.16). In contrast, in Anjou, which is located in a different direction from the petrochemical industries with respect to the prevailing westerly winds and further away (Figure 1), the correlations increased (ravg = 0.27).
Our results demonstrate that there can be large differences in the intraurban spatial distributions of pollutants. Among the pollutants commonly used as human exposure indicators for epidemiological studies, correlations with other pollutants were relatively high for NO, NO2, NOx, and UFP, whereas correlations with PM2.5 and SO2 were relatively low. Although all these nitrogen species or classes were measured with the same method (high time-resolution chemiluminesence), which may tend to enhance their intercorrelations relative to those with other pollutants, this cannot entirely explain these correlations. Although our findings suggest that NOy and HOA also may be good indicators of the mixture we measured, they are not included in typical monitoring network data, and inexpensive techniques to measure them are currently not available. Our results also showed seasonal differences in the correlations and relationships between pollutants, along with differences in their average concentrations.
The main reason for the spatial differences in correlations among pollutants was found to be the difference in their emission sources. Some pollutants are more linked to roads and traffic emissions (NO, NO2, UFP, and HOA), others to industrial sources (SO2 and benzene), and others to smaller, localized activities (Levy et al. 2012). Even for pollutants associated with common sources, such as SO2 and benzene, which are released from study area refineries, we observed small-scale differences in spatial patterns that reflect differences in the volumes of emissions from different sources (Environment Canada 2008), differences in the specific sources of emissions within an industrial complex (i.e., location and height), and differences in dispersion due to differences in their reactivity and physical characteristics. Thus, depending upon distance from the source and concentration averaging time, measurements may imply that certain pollutants covary when they are not physically linked. Consequently, there is potential for their exposure patterns within the population to differ and thus cause exposure misclassification. Although SO2 has been used as in indicator of exposure to refinery emissions in previous studies (Smargiassi et al. 2009), our observations suggest that it may not be an accurate indicator of specific aspects of the refinery emissions that could be more directly responsible for an adverse health effect in the Montreal study area.
Examining the nature of the relationship among pollutants in the mixture, we focused on NO2 and other traffic-related pollutants. We found a larger number of UFPs for each part-per-billion-by-volume increase of NO2 in the winter compared with the summer. Thus, in areas where NO2 is higher, there are greater amounts of UFPs in winter than in summer. This may reflect a reduced evaporation of UFPs co-emitted with NOx when temperatures are colder (Olivares et al. 2007). HOA concentrations, a measure of traffic-related particles, were also more strongly associated with NO2 concentrations in winter than in summer, possibly due to a similar dependence on temperature.
In contrast with UFPs, associations between BC concentrations and NO2 were stronger in the summer than in the winter. This suggests a source for NO2 that emits less BC and/or a source for BC that emits less NO2 in the winter. One emitter that can explain the former is natural gas heating, which, although not the main source for heat, is used in Montreal (Statistics Canada 2010). For the latter, the lower combustion temperatures of wood burning for residential heating is a possible reason for a higher BC/NOx emission ratio in winter, particularly in East Montreal (Gagnon et al. 2007). The higher wintertime OM concentration along with a lower OM correlation with NO2 further suggests an additional source for particles in the winter that does not produce as much NOx.
Beyond seasonal variation in emissions, there are two main reasons for the seasonality in pollution levels and correlations. First is the stable vertical structure in the lower atmosphere in the winter (Bergeron and Strachan 2012). Second, lower temperatures and reduced solar radiation in winter result in less photochemical activity, causing, for example, slower conversion of NO to NO2 and NO2 to NOz and, therefore, more buildup of primary pollutants. Conversely, the photochemical production of O3 is higher in the summer because of stronger solar radiation, whereas UFPs and at least some portion of the traffic particle mass (i.e., HOA) either evaporates faster or does not form or condense in as high abundance as vehicle exhaust cools when ambient temperatures are higher in summer.
Differences in the seasonal behavior of air pollutants result not only in different levels of exposure to individual pollutants during each season but also in different correlations between pollutants, which may also vary depending upon their sources, thus reducing the accuracy of individual pollutants as proxy measures of chronic ambient air pollution exposures in urban areas. When combined with seasonality in population behavior, consideration of the seasonal differences in multipollutant behavior presented here can help lead to more-informed assessments of exposure contrasts in epidemiological studies. For example, the implication of the different NO2–UFP slopes between summer and winter is that if the association found between NO2 and health outcomes is due to UFP in the air pollution mix, then NO2 should show a stronger effect in the winter. This could be observable, assuming people spend the same amount of time outdoors in both seasons and if the indoor–outdoor air exchange rates do not vary between seasons. Nevertheless, the conclusion to be drawn is that NO2 has a nonconstant relationship during the year with some of the suspected causative pollutants. These are additional sources for uncertainty in epidemiological analysis that need to be addressed in order to confidently identify the pollutants or sources that are more responsible for the observed associations.
Given the limited number of pollutants available at monitoring sites to inform exposures for most health-related studies, it is important to consider their representativeness, particularly for NO2. However, few studies have taken spatial measurements of multiple pollutants to be able to quantitatively examine the associations of NO2 and other pollutants. Our results imply that although no single pollutant will capture the urban-scale variability in chronic human exposures to the air pollution mix as a whole, to a subset of exposures (e.g., traffic-related pollutants), nitrogen species (NO, NO2, NOx, and NOy), and to a lesser extent UFP, may be considered reasonably accurate proxy measures. This helps explain why estimates of chronic exposures to traffic-related air pollution by LUR models for NO2 has been useful in epidemiological studies. The higher correlations of NOx and NOy to other pollutants also suggest that detailed spatial maps for these pollutants may be more advantageous than NO2 for health studies, especially if the focus is on traffic-related air pollutants.
One limitation of this study is the representativeness of our road segment averages to chronic exposure conditions given the limited number of days and exclusion of evenings and nights. To assess this limitation, our averages were compared to the actual 2009 annual averages reported by Levy at al. (2012). As expected, a small sample of visits could not perfectly match the annual average; however, at the available monitoring sites CRUISER’s averages were within 25% of the observed values for NOx, NO2, O3, and PM2.5 and within 40% for CO and 31% for SO2. The average ratio of CRUISER to the network NOx average was 0.96, suggesting that our mobile measurements attained a reasonable amount of long-term representativeness, while also covering a large range of urban settings.
The number of road segments meeting our criteria for computation of an average concentration varied by season and pollutant. This could affect our comparisons of correlations and regression results in terms of the magnitude and significance of the differences shown. Therefore, we expect that the most robust multipollutant correlations were those based on all of the data combined. Although a large number of the seasonal correlations were found to be significant, we did not test for significant differences among corresponding estimates by season or neighborhood. Another potential limitation is the restriction of our measurements to roads, which may not represent pollution levels at locations where people spend their time.
The multipollutant correlations presented here characterize, both spatially and seasonally, the potential extent of the variability in the mix of air pollutants in urban areas. Not only do average levels of individual pollutants change from season to season, but correlations between pairs of pollutants can also vary by season. Furthermore, spatial correlations vary across the city. Consequently, no single pollutant can serve as a perfect proxy for the air pollution mix. However, among the more easily measured and often readily available pollutants, the nitrogen species (NO, NO2, NOx) continue to be the best compromise as proxy measures of urban-scale variability in chronic exposures to complex urban air pollution mixtures. In cities, such pollutants are strongly linked to traffic emissions but are not solely due to this source.
Conveying the tremendous amount of information that can be obtained through mobile surveys and extracting useful insights represents a challenge. The present study and Levy et al. (2012) provide examples of approaches that may be used to meet this challenge in the context of understanding chronic exposure. Our findings help confirm the degree of multi-scale complexity in urban outdoor air pollutant levels and the likelihood of substantial variability in individual exposures. Clearly, attempts to relate health end points to specific sources or industries and their mixtures through epidemiological studies must take this variability into consideration when assigning exposures and interpreting results.
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