Commuting-Adjusted Short-Term Health Impact Assessment of Airborne Fine Particles with Uncertainty Quantification via Monte Carlo Simulation

http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1408218



Table 1. Attributable deaths (AD) among residents that were attributable to local and regional exposure (ADA + B) under different scenarios by province: posterior medians and 80% CrIs.
Province RS0 RS1 RS2 RS3
Abbreviations: CrI, credibility interval; RS0, estimated AD due to annual average PM10 > 20 μg/m3; RS1, estimated AD due to annual average PM10 > 40 μg/m3; RS2, estimated AD assuming a 20% reduction in PM10 > 20 μg/m3; RS3, estimated AD assuming a 20% reduction in PM10 > 40 μg/m3.
Bergamo 63.7 (24.4, 116.2) 10.1 (3.5, 19.9) 24.9 (9.8, 45.6) 9.5 (3.2, 18.6)
Brescia 76.2 (27.7, 148.6) 16.8 (5.8, 37.6) 28.0 (10.3, 53.7) 15.0 (5.3, 32.5)
Como 37.4 (14.0, 66.6) 5.7 (2.0, 11.7) 14.7 (5.5, 26.2) 5.3 (1.9, 10.5)
Cremona 31.7 (10.7, 57.7) 5.7 (1.8, 11.7) 11.8 (4.0, 21.7) 5.3 (1.7, 10.8)
Lecco 18.3 (6.6, 32.3) 2.4 (0.8, 4.5) 7.5 (2.6, 13.4) 2.2 (0.8, 4.1)
Lodi 17.9 (6.3, 32.1) 3.0 (1.1, 6.3) 6.7 (2.3, 12.0) 2.8 (1.0, 5.8)
Mantova 31.9 (11.3, 59.3) 4.5 (1.4, 9.2) 12.4 (4.4, 23.0) 4.3 (1.4, 8.5)
Milano 495.1 (286.3, 734.1) 157.6 (71.8, 269.8) 167.0 (96.7, 244.9) 132.7 (65.2, 207.4)
Pavia 43.1 (15.8, 78.6) 4.2 (1.6, 9.7) 18.0 (6.4, 32.2) 4.0 (1.5, 9.3)
Sondrio 3.1 (0.81, 5.9) < 0.1 (0, 0.1) 1.9 (0.5, 3.6) < 0.1 (0, 0.1)
Varese 49.4 (18.1, 87.7) 5.7 (2.1, 11.4) 21.3 (7.8, 37.5) 5.3 (1.8, 10.6)
Total 865.3 (475.3, 1400.6) 224.9 (110.6, 367.8) 311.4 (167.3, 506.2) 189.4 (98.1, 304.1)