Commuting-Adjusted Short-Term Health Impact Assessment of Airborne Fine Particles with Uncertainty Quantification via Monte Carlo Simulation

http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1408218



Table 2. Attributable community rate (ACR) per 100,000 inhabitants under two scenarios by province of residence and in the capital of each province: posterior medians.
Province Population (n) ACR under RS0 ACR under RS1
Province Capital Province Capital Province Capital
Abbreviations: RS0, estimated AD due to annual average PM10 > 20 μg/m3; RS1, estimated AD due to annual average PM10 > 40 μg/m3.
Bergamo 1,044,820 115,645 6.1 8.9 1.0 0.7
Brescia 1,195,777 190,044 6.4 6.3 1.4 1.3
Como 572,441 83,265 6.5 8.6 1.0 0.3
Cremona 350,368 70,883 9.0 8.7 1.6 0.6
Lecco 327,510 47,006 5.6 4.2 0.7 0.1
Lodi 215,386 42,737 8.3 9.3 1.4 0.9
Mantova 397,533 47,810 8.0 9.8 1.1 1.0
Milano 3,884,481 1,303,437 12.7 20.4 4.1 6.6
Pavia 521,296 70,678 8.3 9.1 0.8 0.5
Sondrio 180,429 21,978 1.7 4.8 < 0.1 < 0.1
Varese 855,400 82,216 5.8 5.9 0.7 0.1
Total 9,545,441 2,075,699 9.1 15.4 2.4 4.4